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Danish pension fund excludes SpaceX citing governance and valuation (reuters.com)
devlovstad 2 hours ago [-]
I have AkademikerPension as my pension fund through work and this move suits me quite well. They've already excluded Tesla as well as a variety of companies that profit of weapon production, fossil fuel production or are suspected for human rights violations.

https://akademikerpension.dk/ansvarlighed/ekskluderede-selsk...

petterroea 2 hours ago [-]
In Norway the oil fund are actively arguing against boycotting these kinds of companies saying, and I paraphrase: "but our job is to earn money and we can't do that if you hippies keep standing in the way with your morals"

Good to see it isn't necessarily the case.

petterroea 1 hours ago [-]
For some context, this Norwegian cartoon by a group that used to make satire for the government run news agency is a pretty decent summary of how things were discussed: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9mkuP6kQwNs.

The old man is a caricature of Jens Stoltenberg (who seems to be running the Norwegian economic machine rather well nowadays, controversial or not)

sgt 2 hours ago [-]
Glad Norway's oil fund has some sense and is above the virtue signaling of the Danes. Also, like it or not, weapons production is going to happen and it's needed. Norway is the 5th largest weapons and defense manufacturer and while the so called Oil Fund doesn't directly invest in them, Kongsberg is 50% state owned.
nkrisc 50 minutes ago [-]
It’s not virtue signaling if they’re actually doing something, it’s virtue action. They’re acting according to their virtues.
dchftcs 1 hours ago [-]
SpaceX is headed by a person who is a strong ally of a politician who openly challenges Denmark's sovereignty over Greenland. Guess you wouldn't mind selling your organs to the same group of powerful people for a few bucks because you're not virtue signalling?
Ray20 32 minutes ago [-]
Yeah, but they say it is because of weapons and climate change and not because of all of this
dchftcs 8 minutes ago [-]
Right, you could disagree on which things to prioritize over dollar profits. My main point is that these preferences are not irrational like was asserted. At the scale of a sovereign wealth fund or pensions, you need to care about externalities. Ultimately the investments are for maintaining the welfare of the citizens, and if a company's operations can impact their welfare then you should weigh that against the dollar profit. If you believe in climate change then it's rational to not put your scarce resources into worsening it, if your country claims political/diplomatic neutrality then you'd be wise to not invest in weapons production just for the money (you could still be a customer), because investment creates alignment, and so on. You may disagree with whether these topics are worth prioritizing over money, I don't want to argue about those, but the point is to not be blinded by dollar signs, that investment can have real consequences and funds are rational to care about the consequences.
10 minutes ago [-]
ninjagoo 20 minutes ago [-]

  > Norway is the 5th largest weapons and defense manufacturer
Can you provide some evidence for this claim? Norway shows as 13th on the list of arms exporters, and is 1/42 the scale of US exports [1]. If counting manufacturing not just exports, then Norway is about 1/100th to 1/150th of the US volume, depending on how you count. [2]

  > while the so called Oil Fund doesn't directly invest in them, Kongsberg is 50% state owned.
Kongsberg as a conglomerate has non-defense businesses as well [3]. The volume of defense-related product is not called out but Norway's total is just around $2.5B [4] as compared to US at $334B [5] or about 1/133. Your point does stand as hypocrisy at the state level, though management and operational decisions are likely separate between the two entities and not coordinated at the state level.

  > Glad Norway's oil fund has some sense and is above the virtue signaling of the Danes.
That is two claims: that the Danish fund lacks judgment, and that its policy is performative. What is the evidence?

  > so called Oil Fund
'Oil fund' is fair shorthand - it's funded by petro wealth. 'So-called Oil Fund' seems to be a sneer. Combined with 'some sense' and 'virtue signaling,' it reads less like argument and more like contempt.

  [1] https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2026-03/fs_2603_at_2025.pdf
  [2] https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2025-11/fs_2512_top_100_2024.pdf
  [3] https://nordicdefencereview.com/operating-in-more-than-40-countries-kongsberg-norway-2024-performance-review-and-growth-outlook-kongsberg-norway-2024-results-and-growth-trajectory/
  [4] https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/6052795/aerospace-and-defense-in-norway
  [5] https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2025/sipri-top-100-arms-producers-see-combined-revenues-surge-states-rush-modernize-and-expand-arsenals
paddim8 55 minutes ago [-]
Choosing to not invest in something is the complete opposite of virtue signaling... stop using words you don't know the meaning of
embedding-shape 2 hours ago [-]
> Glad Norway's oil fund has some sense and is above the virtue signaling of the Danes.

How would you know if they are doing those moves because it's what they believe in, vs it's just a position they'd like to broadcast publicly?

In my mind, a symbolic gesture would be to speak against Tesla and SpaceX without actually doing something, that'd be "virtue signaling" in my mind, but since they're actually doing something, a practical action to not just speak but also not invest into those companies, doesn't it stop being "virtue signaling" at that point?

notarobot123 2 hours ago [-]
I've always wondered, do people who complain about virtue signaling just simply not believe in the concept of virtues or integrity at all? Human nature is pure vice mediated by violence and contract law, that's it.

I get the cynicism about performative acts vs. authentic values but where's the line? Putting your money where your mouth is has to count for something.

sgt 60 minutes ago [-]
You have a point. I'd hope most of us actually do care about virtues and integrity, but 90% of the time it doesn't need to be said. It's how we were raised. Now, true virtue signalling is saying X to change the perception but yet doing 100 evil things in the background.
jcoyne 51 minutes ago [-]
> our job is to earn money

Which is exactly why you wouldn't put it in a company with a ridiculous valuation.

epolanski 13 minutes ago [-]
Sure, but the exceptions are also based on ethical grounds like in the case of oil or defense industries.
SlinkyOnStairs 1 hours ago [-]
It's maddening how quickly ESG and similar programmes have been thrown in the dumpster once the political climate in the US swung back to "anti-woke".

> "but our job is to earn money and we can't do that if you hippies keep standing in the way with your morals"

What these clowns conveniently forget is that their job is not just "to make money" but to make money over a span of decades and centuries in the case of the sovereign funds. A long term investment fund that optimizes for the next quarter at the expense of the long term is a bad fund.

And so the ESG and woke "hippie bullshit" is nothing more than the basic capitalism of maximizing your gains by 2100 by not destroying the one planet all your companies are on.

Long term funds do not have the luxury of being passive owners. If they take no role in management, that role will instead by taken by whatever short-term owner walks in next. They don't care about the value by 2100, they just want the company to tear the copper out of it's own walls so they can sell with a profit by next quarter, retail even sooner.

tordrt 1 hours ago [-]
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1 hours ago [-]
petesergeant 2 hours ago [-]
That’s exactly what you would want your money manager to say. It’s their job to turn a profit.

In turn you also want democratically elected politicians above that saying “yes, but the people want their money made ethically, so you can’t do that”.

embedding-shape 1 hours ago [-]
> That’s exactly what you would want your money manager to say. It’s their job to turn a profit.

The job of the police is arresting people who break the law, but similarly to your money manager, you really don't want them to do this regardless of anything else, there is more things to consider than just "do everything you can to arrest people", and hopefully the same for your money manager. But also, I might be too European to understand the true value of "money grow regardless of society cost at large".

petterroea 2 hours ago [-]
Of course, some back-and-forwards is healthy.

In a good system both sides fight for their interests, and the outcome is some middle road compromise that optimizes for everyone's benefit.

Natfan 2 hours ago [-]
sorry, but i wouldn't want my money manager to attempt to engage in unethical or illegal practices in order to turn a profit...
chabska 23 minutes ago [-]
The point is that it's the job of the democratic legislature to codify what you just stated here into law, so that all money managers have to abide by this standard, not just those that have a personal conviction for it. That's the essence of rule of law.
DangitBobby 5 minutes ago [-]
You can't have a functioning government if it's elected by a corrupt society. Exhibit A, current US situation.
tordrt 1 hours ago [-]
The fossil fuel part doesn't seem like a rational decision to me.

Why are we pretending that fossil fuels dont provide an immense amount of value for humanity, and that its horrible to invest or support building out any fossil fuel production whatsoever.

Lets not do produce it ourselves, lets just instead outsource it to the gulfs and Russia…

i_cannot_hack 1 hours ago [-]
Nobody is pretending fossil fuels are not producing value, if they did not nobody would bother using them in the first place. The argument is about the fact that they produce relatively short term value for the person using them, at the externalized expense of polluting the atmosphere and causing long-term environmental instability and destruction for every subsequent generation for the foreseeable future. Coastal regions (and whole islands like the Maldives) disapppearing under the ocean is immense and ongoing value loss for humanity. Ocean acidification destroying marine ecosystems is an immense and ongoing value loss for humanity. More frequent and more extreme hurricanes is an an immense and ongoing value loss for humanity. And on and on...
pietervdvn 1 hours ago [-]
The fossil fuel industry is both the most subsidized industry worldwide (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fossil_fuel_subsidies) and the second most expensive source of energy (at least for electricity production). The only energy source that is more expensive is nuclear (!).
tordrt 30 minutes ago [-]
The second most expensive source of energy is misleading in terms of whole picture. They are using a theoretical cost per kwh generated. You have to account for the much higher infrastructure and systemic cost of electricity generation you can not control (wind/solar). You cant simply use wind or solar without pairing it with an controllable source like hydro, gas, coal or batteries. Which is why the world is still very much using gas and coal (and still building more). Renewables are a cheap and good supplement to these sources, you just cant replace them cheaply (yet).

Regarding "the most subsidized industry worldwide", this wikipedia article does not mention any tax revenue and taxation of these companies. Which are stil very often government cash cows and often pays much more taxes than other corporations. The subsidies are straight to citizen's gas tanks and heating bills.

"Subsidies are mainly on consumption,[3] such as a lower sales tax on natural gas for residential heating; or subsidies on production, such as tax breaks on exploration for oil."

In my country Norway for example, we have tax breaks on exploration to incentivize investment in exploration, but you have to take into account that these companies have an 80 corporate tax rate! In many petro states they are straight up nationalized companies.

haaz 21 minutes ago [-]
Ah yes fossil fuels are very heavily subsidized that's why Norway and Saudi Arabia are so poor, because they subsidized their fossil fuel production!

Wind and solar are also much cheaper than fossil fuels, everybody is just really dumb and evil and decides to use fossil fuels anyway, it's not because renewables have massive infrastructure costs due to unreliability and lack of energy density.

You are an idiot

90d 1 hours ago [-]
It is a tricky situation isn't it? We wouldn't have gotten where we are without fossil fuels, but now we realize they are not sustainable to be dependent on and we cannot continue this level of growth. I don't think it is actually possible using current means to power what we have come to know as a "first-world lifestyle" for the majority of the planet.
stingraycharles 37 minutes ago [-]
It’s more about trying to help the cleaner energy sources get off the ground, rather than a purely financial incentive.
tordrt 7 minutes ago [-]
How much extra investment to you think green tech companies get for pension funds excluding investment in this sector? They also only invest in publicly listed companies, not green startups. To me it seems like the exclusion is based on them viewing it immoral to invest in these companies..

I think the right way to go about this is to tax consumption of fossil fuels in countries where we can afford it and use the money to subsidize green tech/industry.

ZeroGravitas 41 minutes ago [-]
If it's so valuable why don't you want to buy it from the Russians and the Gulf?
tordrt 4 minutes ago [-]
I think Europe happily buys from the Gulf currently, and reluctantly buys from Russia if they have to.

Its more about being self sufficient. This is something that can easily be weaponized against us. E.g. Russia using Europes own money to finance their invasion of Ukraine.

stingraycharles 36 minutes ago [-]
We do want to buy it from the Gulf. It’s just that a certain country started a certain war and this is now off the table.
eigenspace 1 hours ago [-]
The slavery part doesn't seem like a rational decision to me.

Why are we pretending that slavery doesn't provide an immense amount of value for humanity, and that it's horrible to invest or support building out any slavery production whatsoever?

Lets not do produce it ourselves, lets just instead outsource it to Africa...

___________________________________

Snide comparisons aside, I'd just say that we can accept that fossil fuels played a gigantic and important role in getting us to where we are, and also acknowledge that we'll continue to need fossil fuels in the near future, but that does *not* mean that we need to accept that investment in even more expansion of the fossil fuel industry is a good idea.

tordrt 51 minutes ago [-]
Slavery is evil. Fossil fuels is actually still a net good for humanity. E.g. the consequences of removing access to these energy sources, would be overwhelmingly more negative for humanity right now, than the consequence of global warming.

The transition is moving ahead, it just takes time, and we need more technological breakthroughs and innovation. Trying to attack production instead of solving demand, can cause serious consequences, in which the poorest countries in the world would suffer the most.

SamoyedFurFluff 33 minutes ago [-]
Doesn’t one major fund reducing investment in fossil fuels and increasing investment in renewable energy precisely migrate towards the notion of helping solve demand and encourage technological breakthroughs and innovation?
tordrt 14 minutes ago [-]
I think the right way to go about this is to tax consumption. The most efficient one would just be a co2 tax, to not favoritize some emission over others. This is mostly fine in western rich countries, and we already do this to some extent by putting extra taxes and fees on petrol, carbon emissions and stuff.

Becoming reliant on countries you dont want to be reliant on, and pretending we dont desperately need this to get the wheels turning is a strategic blunder.

Higher global fossil fuels costs have strong negative effects on peoples welfare, especially in poorer countries. Whenever we get high oil/gas prices, we get price jumps on artificial fertilizer, food, transport and energy. Everything gets more expensive. Its straight up national emergency when something threatens supply of oil and gas in many of these countries when we get events like closing of the hormuz strait.

apexalpha 2 hours ago [-]
Defensive weapons are very much needed in Europe…
embedding-shape 1 hours ago [-]
Indeed, hence most European defense companies experiencing somewhat incredible growth recently, with no signs of stopping.

Do we need Americans weapons? Unlikely and probably counter-productive long-term. Do we need European weapons? Hell yeah!

CuriouslyC 1 hours ago [-]
The new asymmetric reality is mostly short/medium range drones, ECMs and hypersonic missles. Loitering munitions are going to make tanks mostly obsolete and Jets are too expensive to risk over enemy territory that still has working radar/anti-air except for large shock&awe actions.

A lot of this stuff is hard to stop and too cheap to effectively stop economically anyhow, the best solution is distance and preemptive strikes at staging areas.

ifwinterco 2 hours ago [-]
How does Tesla fit with the rest of those?

I'm not a huge fan of Elon Musk but Tesla is a company that produces electric cars (mostly in western countries with half-decent labour laws), it's not associated with any of those things.

I guess one could argue with some merit that the governance is bad enough to exclude it on that basis alone?

sgt 2 hours ago [-]
Agreed - Tesla has been an insanely good investment. I'm not sure about the next 10 years, but people have continuously underestimated them (and Elon Musk). The Norwegian so called Oil Fund owns more than 1% of Tesla.
RugnirViking 56 minutes ago [-]
has it been an insanely good investment because of changes to profit and loss, or because of other factors? (of course, building a car company of the scale they have is impressive. But by looking at tesla's financials vs stock price, youd conclude basically any other car company ever was a great buy by any reasonable metric)
Luc 2 hours ago [-]
"Danish pension company Akademikir Pension has announced it will divest from Tesla due to ongoing concerns about labour rights, corporate governance, and Tesla CEO and co-founder, Elon Musk's behaviour."

https://www.europeanpensions.net/ep/Denmarks-Akademiker-Pens...

acdha 1 hours ago [-]
Tesla has a P/E wildly out of line with the rest of their sector and is facing strong competition with a largely absentee CEO who has a history of making very bad decisions over the objections of more skilled staff (politics, of course, but also things like how the Cybertruck is so expensive to make and own). At some point that bubble is going to pop so I can understand a pension fund being more focused on long term returns passing on them.
Matl 2 hours ago [-]
Tesla is known for hazardous factory conditions, worker mistreatment etc.[1]

Then there's the autopilot misleading marketing, Cybertruck being glued together with spit glue and duct tape etc.

1 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Criticism_of_Tesla,_Inc.#Worki...

runeks 3 hours ago [-]
I wanted to see how well Akademikerpension has done wrt. returns. This graph shows average yearly return from the financial crisis 2009 until 2021 and they are actually the best performing among other Danish pension funds [1].

[1] https://www.finanshus.dk/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Pensions...

adamtulinius 2 hours ago [-]
Ah, time to dump Velliv it seems.
brikym 4 hours ago [-]
I really want a QQQ/VOO replacement that excludes these new rushed IPOs that are just exit liquidity. There are ETFs that exclude harmful industries like gambling, weapons and tobacco. How about an ETF that doesn't include IPOs for six months or until insider lock ups periods are over.
pja 2 hours ago [-]
Dimensional runs a bunch of ETFs which are effectively US & world equity index trackers that don’t slavishly follow the indices & can therefore avoid being forced to buy into IPOs or index updates. E.g. DFUS is effectively VTI (IIRC) without the requirement to immediately buy into IPOs that are added to the index:

  https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/funds/dfus/us-equity-market-etf
I don’t think they have a QQQ equivalent but I haven’t looked at their entire ETF list.

(I have no relationship with Dimensional, nor do I invest in these funds - I just saw them mentioned in a YT video on this topic a few months ago: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mqIHa6URUPk )

brikym 35 minutes ago [-]
I knew that would be a Ben Felix vid. He's awesome.
KerrickStaley 3 hours ago [-]
I think VGT is a good QQQ replacement. It is based [1] on the MSCI US Investable Market Information Technology 25/50 Index which is free-float adjusted [2] [3], meaning that SpaceX will have a lower weight due to its lower free float. Also, VGT has a substantially lower expense ratio (9 bps / year [4]) than QQQ (18 bps / year [5]). You can compare VGT and QQQ's holdings on these pages [6] [7].

[1] https://fund-docs.vanguard.com/F0958.pdf

[2] https://www.msci.com/indexes/documents/methodology/2_MSCI_25...

[3] https://www.msci.com/documents/10199/6bafd9e3-0474-f03b-16bd...

[4] https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profi...

[5] https://www.invesco.com/qqq-etf/en/about.html

[6] https://stockanalysis.com/etf/vgt/holdings/

[7] https://stockanalysis.com/etf/qqq/holdings/

brikym 3 hours ago [-]
That's fantastic. Thanks! I actually use QQQM which has lower fees. Seems like Invesco pulled a trick from marketing and segmented the market to have it both ways. I also need to find leveraged ETFs that have float adjusted weights which is a bit trickier. I might just pull out of TQQQ until the dust settles.
wjnc 3 hours ago [-]
A long and a short cancel out. So you could construe this yourselves. (Recognise that this has a long tradition on HN ;)
brikym 2 hours ago [-]
Besides laziness being a tradition among programmers (in a good way), that kind of complex activity is going to generate tax in a lot of jurisdictions.
3 hours ago [-]
3 hours ago [-]
lain98 3 hours ago [-]
VTI avoids these issues. It's float adjusted market cap weighted. More float allows better price discovery. So a company like spacex has negligible weight.
u1hcw9nx 3 hours ago [-]
So are other major index funds. That's not the problem.

The problem is that the NASDAQ 100 and most likely also S&P 500, change their rules to permit SpaceX to be added early without traditional time for price discovery. It happens jsut five trading days before the major index rebalance.

After float adjustment SpaceX could be 1% of NASDAQ and 0.7% of SP500, but after full tranche escalation that takes over 130 days, SpaceX weight can be over 3% of NASDAQ and almost 2% of SP500 if the market cap stays near $1.5T.

(I think the price will decrease, so the weight will be smaller)

This is just a ploy to get exit liqudity as brikym, said. SpaceX collects enough capital to pay Twitter acquisition loans and then some, but the IPO not major boost for SpaceX finances. The coming merger with Tesla is clearly in the plans (C stocks).

brikym 3 hours ago [-]
> five trading days before the major index rebalance.

I didn't realize this. That's really scammy.

bko 2 hours ago [-]
The point of these broad ETFs is that they include everything. Let the market decide. Of course they should own one of the largest public companies in the world. They're changing the rules on inclusion because the ipo is unprecedented and not owning it because [reasons] would be a dereliction of their duties.

You want an ESG fund

Also I dont see how weapons companies are harmful. Unless you're so naive to think defense is not a thing any person or country has to worry about in 2026

myk9001 57 minutes ago [-]
> Let the market decide... They're changing the rules on inclusion ...

You have the market deciding and the rules changing in the same paragraph and nothing's bothering you. I genuinely envy your peace of mind, my friend. Some of us are truly blessed.

vibrio 2 hours ago [-]
I think their point is not the ESG component, but firms with traditionally irrational valuations (à la GameStop) for which index inclusion exceptions have been made to facilitate short term liquidity for IPO participants. Seems as though one should be able to hold the broad market less that component.
sobiolite 2 hours ago [-]
Let the market decide what, though? What the market cares about may be different from what you care about, if the average investor has a higher tolerance for risk that you do. For pension funds, long term stability is key. A wide spread of large companies has traditionally been a good way to achieve that, but that isn’t guaranteed.
paulbjensen 1 hours ago [-]
The Financial Times' Unhedged Podcast covered the SpaceX IPO recently and highlighted the same issues that the Danish pension fund raised concerns about.

https://www.ft.com/content/a401b0c0-fcc0-4bae-9f57-e8d5c0957...

Alifatisk 60 minutes ago [-]
I am thinking of moving over my investments from S&P 500 to S&P 500 ESG, as they have excluded SpaceX and Tesla.
jcoyne 54 minutes ago [-]
$XVV (iShares ESG Select Screened S&P 500 ETF) holds $TSLA
stkdump 46 minutes ago [-]
SRI and ESG advanced funds exclude Tesla.
Alifatisk 42 minutes ago [-]
Damn you're right.
swingboy 3 hours ago [-]
Apologies for the naivety, but, why is SpaceX valued so high? Starlink? Are rockets really a lucrative business? Don’t get me wrong, being able to send objects up into orbit is cool, but is it $1.8T cool?
Hendrikto 3 hours ago [-]
Because of the Musk reality distortion field. The claim is that all data centers will move into space, and that SpaceX will completely own that market.
SlinkyOnStairs 2 hours ago [-]
The datacenter thing is mostly just a meme that billionaires say because it makes them feel smart and gets them media attention, it doesn't seem to move stock significantly.

The actual distortion field is around Starlink. Which is the main product and the only one that's (nominally) profitable. It's the one all the hype centers around. xAI is barely even notable in the AI space.

This also makes it possible to judge the size of the distortion field, as Starlink is just an ISP, for which we have accurate valuations. And for what it concerns shareholders, a strictly worse one than a conventional ISP. Space infra is much more expenive than putting some glass in the ground, once.

Comcast is a behemoth of a company doing far more than just ISP. Worth a "mere" $90 billion. Charter Communications is a similarly sized "pure" telecom. Worth $20 billion.

Both of the above ISP companies have roughly 30 million subscribers. Starlink has 10 million. Yet they want $2 trillion at IPO.

A 20x to 100x overvaluation. And what do you get beyond an ISP?

* A private aerospace company that's not doing notably better than the space divisions of old aerospace. (Remember: Starlink is already accounted for so doesn't count here)

* An AI company that has so little demand it's currently handing a bunch of compute to Anthropic for such a deep discount the latter has claimed to become profitable.

* Twitter. Which is worth either $33b if you count Elon's internal buyout valuation, or $10b if you count realistic valuations.

While there is some hype around "The future of space!", the reality is that the long term growth for that is fairly dead in the current geopolitical climate. Nobody's saying it out loud yet but US Aerospace is being replaced. Fewer and fewer US launches will be bought. The EU is even building their own Starlink equivalent.

tristanj 1 hours ago [-]
I find it amusing to read comments like these, because they remind me of the massive awareness gap between people who understand SpaceX's product line, and those who don't.

In your world, you only see and interpret SpaceX's existing products. You then see SpaceX's eye-watering valuation, and then are confused where this comes from.

Meanwhile, people who understand SpaceX's product line, and the implications these products in five or ten years, can analyze the situation more accurately.

I can tell you are in the unaware group, since you don't mention nor analyze two of SpaceX's world-changing products (Starship and Starlink Mobile).

emj 20 minutes ago [-]
Isn't Spaceship an requirement to make starlink profitable?
chinathrow 19 minutes ago [-]
Enlighten us then, please. What are we missing?
kortilla 1 hours ago [-]
> The datacenter thing is mostly just a meme that billionaires say because it makes them feel smart and gets them media attention, it doesn't seem to move stock significantly.

A significant portion of their valuation is based on this. The spacex private stock price moved significantly based on this data center narrative.

> And for what it concerns shareholders, a strictly worse one than a conventional ISP.

This is ignorance. There is absolutely zero meaningful competition to Starlink in the maritime, aviation, and remote internet markets. 150mbps down with <80ms latency isn’t impressive in a city but it’s mind blowing on an airplane 1000 miles from land.

> The EU is even building their own Starlink equivalent.

No they aren’t. The only somewhat credible competitor so far is Amazon Kuiper(Leo) and they are still nascent.

You also forgot starshield.

Topfi 38 minutes ago [-]
>> The EU is even building their own Starlink equivalent.

> No they aren’t.

That’s exactly what IRIS [0] is though…

[0] https://defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu/eu-space/iris2-s...

sgt 2 hours ago [-]
Where did they say that all data centers will move into space? I thought the claim was that it's going to be more and more feasible and profitable to have DC's in space.
Izmaki 3 hours ago [-]
This sounds amazing until something needs replacement. Until data centers on earth has a 99.99% (or higher) level of autonomous operation with very minimal requirements to maintenance and part replacements, they're not sending anything into orbit...
raincole 3 hours ago [-]
It sounds amazing for 14yo boys who are not specifically into hard sci-fi.
sebzim4500 2 hours ago [-]
I guess we'll see, because most 14 year olds don't have a lot of money to put into SpaceX.
eigenspace 3 hours ago [-]
I also sounds amazing until you remember how hard it is to cool something when your only option is radiative cooling.
Drakim 2 hours ago [-]
You could also transfer the heat to tungsten rods and drop them on rivaling earth-bound data centers.
kergonath 2 hours ago [-]
Why tungsten? In terms of thermal conductivity, It’s way worse than silver and copper and on par with good aluminium alloys. Those are cheaper and much lighter (so again much cheaper to put into orbit).
eigenspace 2 hours ago [-]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kinetic_bombardment

The idea is to use tungsten because of the high melting point and hardness so that it survives re-entry in order to best strike the rival datacentre.

2 hours ago [-]
kortilla 1 hours ago [-]
Starlink already operates this way. You don’t replace parts, you launch new sats.
flyinglizard 2 hours ago [-]
[dead]
UltraSane 2 hours ago [-]
I truly do not understand why anyone believes anything Musk says anymore.
bar000n 1 hours ago [-]
could it be that those people don't actually believe him and just appreciate the genuine shit-show he puts up enabling them to laugh at people who get sad about what he says, and their eagerness to believe
Zigurd 34 minutes ago [-]
No. Space is not lucrative or profitable. The SpaceX profit story rests entirely on Starlink. Starlink has a plausible moat servicing ships at sea and extreme remote areas. The big problem for Starlink is that they are trying to grow into a shrinking TAM, as terrestrial wireless expands with ever cheaper equipment ever farther into the countryside that Starlink is counting on for their TAM.

Elon's visions border on self parody. If I told you that humanoid robots were going to be digging tunnels for the Boring Company you'd have to stop and think if I was pulling your leg.

noutella 2 hours ago [-]
One must also consider the proximity between musk and the trump administration, the market pricing this proximity is the market pricing power, access and aligning its interest with the blatant collusion between political power and business in the US.

That or the good ol’ « dump it on retail » scheme

ifwinterco 2 hours ago [-]
Monetary policy in the US is too loose and has been for years
Tepix 2 hours ago [-]
We know that xAI (with X) is struggling.

SpaceX is growing quite slowly. You could argue that Starship is likely to somewhat accelerate growth.

Starlink is doing well but also growing somewhat slow.

A more rational valuation would be 900b-1000b.

The rest is Musk and FOMO.

UltraSane 2 hours ago [-]
Starship is currently a money pit.
expedition32 3 hours ago [-]
As long as you can offload your bag to the next sucker the value will be high.

Most shareholders don't really care about the company they have shares in.

bell-cot 2 hours ago [-]
Big picture: Nice-sounding economic theories claim that stock market valuations are rational, but those theories are mostly bullshit. As soon as the actual humans in the real-world stock market get excited, or scared, or otherwise emotional, they mostly stop caring about all that stupid boring gotta-do-math "rational" stuff.

Yes, eventually, the humans have to sober up, and stock market valuations return to approximately what the economic theories say they should be. But the dangers of betting on that "eventually" are very well known: https://quoteinvestigator.com/2011/08/09/remain-solvent/

bazodedo 3 hours ago [-]
The earth is finite, and space, for all intents and purposes, is not, and expansion into it would thus be required to sustain any super linear growth of the economy. Well, and rockets are cool. Perhaps people would much rather invest in something with the veneer of furthering space exploration (and the promise of infinite riches) than buy into some crypto blockchain startup. And, its not as if other current valuations are sane.
Geezus_42 3 hours ago [-]
SpaceX isn't opening space to everyone. They're are preparing for the select few to be able to escape once the earth is no longer sustainable due to their own efforts.
zdc1 2 hours ago [-]
With schemes like SpaceX, and the general number of large-cap-but-negative-earnings companies trading on the market, I feel like the conventional wisdom of DCA and chill / just passively buy the index will turn into an underperforming strategy vs a slightly more active or opinionated approach.
dools 2 hours ago [-]
Just buy ETFs of index funds that only include dividend paying stocks
Npovview 57 minutes ago [-]
Another factor. TINA. There is no alternative.
fuglede_ 3 hours ago [-]
ChrisArchitect 20 minutes ago [-]
throw672 3 hours ago [-]
American gov is gonna invade Greenland for sure for not cooperating with american conmen
neonstatic 42 minutes ago [-]
I am waiting to see if the same outrage will be in place when Anthropic and OpenAI go public. This surely isn't just a dislike of a certain individual, is it?
beardyw 3 hours ago [-]
Presumably Musk will sue them.
tomaskafka 3 hours ago [-]
Or tell Trump to start a war with them.
BYazfVCcq 2 hours ago [-]
I'm pretty sure Trump threatening to invade Greenland/Denmark played a part in the decision to not invest in the company.
haunter 2 hours ago [-]
I don’t think this is politically motivated but posting this on HN (and the 2nd time reaching the front page) sure is
acdha 1 hours ago [-]
Musk chose to make the political aspects unavoidable but I don’t think anything related to major investors’ reactions to one of the most hotly awaited IPOs here is primarily a political move. I’ve been on HN for a while and people here have always had a soft spot for SpaceX — there are probably grown adults now who were born after their parents were speculating about the company here! — and the valuations of SpaceX and Tesla have been the topic of discussion for many years, too. Toss in AI and X and it’d be more surprising if it wasn’t getting a lot of chatter.
user3939382 2 hours ago [-]
Political tribalism wearing a mask of financial news. There are many pension funds and many large companies with valuation problems. Plenty of them in the tech sector. Everyone involved in propagating this story understands the political move they’re making.

Personally if anyone cares my take is that our economic problems are basically structural and geometric at this point. DC is a circus of people tasked with solving them and with the general competence the process selects for, the problems are in a practical sense unsolvable. So instead we get the tribal war spectacle over who holds the pen. Meanwhile the problems sit on the desk with a blank in the answer space.

andyjohnson0 2 hours ago [-]
For those commenting that this decision may have a political element: Greenland is a part of the Kingdom of Denmark.

Musk is a prominent Trump/MAGA supporter, and Trump has threatened to annex Greenland by force. SpaceX is part of Trump's Golden Dome project, and one of the reasons that Trump wants Greenland is to site ICBM detection and interceptor systems.

johneth 2 hours ago [-]
All good points, but I think their main point of poor governance is still the pure motivation.
detourdog 2 hours ago [-]
The governance issues seem much worse than the other issues with pricing and inclusion.
2 hours ago [-]
myk9001 2 hours ago [-]
> ... part of the reasons that Trump wants Greenland is to site ICBM detection and interceptor systems.

Nothing is stopping the US from deploying those in Greenland right now.

The only reason Trump wants Greenland is he's not all there -- Greenland looks big on the map so he's fixated on it.

andyjohnson0 1 hours ago [-]
> Nothing is stopping the US from deploying those in Greenland

That would require the (politically unlikely) agreement of the Danish government. See article 2 of the relevant treaty [1]:

"...establishing and/or operating such defense areas as the two Governments, on the basis of NATO defense plans, may from time to time agree to be necessary..."

> The only reason Trump wants Greenland is he's not all there -- Greenland looks big on the map so he's fixated on it.

I agree that that is part of it, but there is more to it than that.

[1] https://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/den001.asp

Symbiote 40 minutes ago [-]
Why wouldn't Denmark agree? Danish and Greenlandic politicians have reminded the US several times that more bases can be established under the terms of this treaty.

E.g. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx21669452lo

myk9001 33 minutes ago [-]
So, you're saying the US (300+ mln, #1 military) never actually requested to deploy them and Denmark (5 mln) never actually refused. But because you think an agreement is unlikely, it's straight to annexation by force. Do I have that right?
amelius 2 hours ago [-]
Then why not hedge? If they take Greenland at least they have their pensions.
ksimukka 3 hours ago [-]
(Apologies for the bad grammar, my son was born a little over 24 hours ago. I’m choosing not to use a LLM, so you are getting the real me)

Even sovereign funds (example Norway) are invested in American tech, funds, and indexes.

It is interesting to think about (from the perspective of an immigrant to Norway) how I moved my life’s savings from the US to Norway.

I’m now fully invested into Norway (real estate, savings, and retirement).

My understand is that Norwegians (and the nordics) have historically looked up to the US as a world leader.

I think that is no longer true and maybe this decision by Denmark is a data point of how the Nordics are changing?

It kind of feels like we all have been caught holding the bag (US reserve currency) and now we have to carefully unwind our position.

I’ve lost my point. Maybe my goal here is to just contribute to this discussion to distract from the exhaustion.

pimeys 3 hours ago [-]
As a Nordic (Finland), I think this is true. In the history, US has been always admired and we've loved to travel there and cherish the culture. Damn, I was there when Conan O'Brien traveled to Helsinki, and greeting him with this massive crowd of people who really love him. I married an American, I've traveled through the country multiple times with my partner. Love the food, people, the nature, the cities.

But this has definitely changed for me now. The idea of crossing the border and having to flip a coin is the border control guy a nice guy or not is not appealing as a diabetic who needs his phone to be with him untampered and who doesn't want to sit in a cell somewhere for days/weeks because they posted a funny meme of a person you can't joke about. Or who just witnesses this absolute inequality happening, and who witnesses the leaders of this country coming to my country and giving their support for parties who want me to not marry and who doesn't want to see me existing.

I am just tired. And sad. I wish I could get our relationship back with the US but I don't know... Even if we backtrack from here, get back to the "olden times", it will take a moment until I can enjoy US again.

P.S. Conan is still a treasure!

ksimukka 3 hours ago [-]
Conan is great!
carlosjobim 2 hours ago [-]
> The idea of crossing the border and having to flip a coin is the border control guy a nice guy or not

That is nothing new. It's how it's been forever. And not only arriving in the USA, but also Canada, Germany and other places.

pimeys 2 hours ago [-]
Well... Strip searching and jailing young German girls in the border is not something I hear happening very often in countries like Canada, Germany, Denmark, Finland... Actually I have not heard that happening even once! My American partner has crossed the German border countless of times from US. Before they got an EU passport, even then the border queue was prompt and the guard sometimes asked a joke in German and a minute later let them pass.

I waited hours in Newark even before the current joke of a government. The risk of being in a jail without my phone which has a life-saving app to manage my diabetes is a risk I am not going to take.

dmix 1 hours ago [-]
> jailing young German girls in the border

Last time I read that story they were given the option to immediately fly back to Germany for free after their tourist visa was declined but the girls declined the flight because they wanted to fly somewhere else on another flight which wasn’t available yet, which means they had to be detained. So they stayed overnight in an immigration detention facility which included a search.

They also flew to Hawaii without a hotel booked which is something the guards always look for (that was basically 101 common knowledge when I first crossed 15yrs ago). Just like how having a flight out prebooked is important.

carlosjobim 1 hours ago [-]
> Actually I have not heard that happening even once!

Have you heard that happening more than once?

Having your luggage searched, long interrogations, dog sniffing, and then more interrogations - that has been common on international borders. All for no other reason than the border guard didn't like your face. That's my real life experience as a person who used to travel a lot. And many others I've met told similar stories, including being denied entry. So it's been a coin flip for a long time.

shivpat 3 hours ago [-]
Get off your phone and enjoy the time lol - journal instead if you must write something
yokoprime 2 hours ago [-]
Gatekeeping is never a good look.
pseudony 3 hours ago [-]
Congratulations :)

As a Dane, I would say yes. Especially among boomers there was always a genuine appreciation of the US and its role as guardian of a rules-based international order and western civilization more generally.

I think that sentiment has gone, even as younger generations have increasingly incorporated English words, music, TV and more into their own, but you seldom hear the same genuine trust in the US as a force for good.

sgt 1 hours ago [-]
I'd say in Norway there's more inherent trust in America. People may appear a bit more critical, but by now it's part of the culture. Even though you have some regresion of that trust due to Trump and polarization, I'd say most people see the US as a core part of Western society, cultural and critical to defense.
l23k4 3 hours ago [-]
>I think that is no longer true and maybe this decision by Denmark is a data point of how the Nordics are changing?

No, this is just standard pension fund governance.

ksimukka 2 hours ago [-]
Right, that makes sense. I assume it happens often as part of the governance process. my original statement could have be better phrased as a question.

What are your thoughts on the general consensus of Nordics views and opinions about the US?

simonjgreen 3 hours ago [-]
Congratulations, and enjoy your time :)
dbg31415 3 hours ago [-]
Good move.

Elon is rigging the stock market and getting index funds to invest in companies that are over-valued and thus not stable.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=sYA-z0Y8WRQ

Hamuko 4 hours ago [-]
I've recently been thinking about pulling my money from all of the US funds that I currently have. I really don't want my investments to be in SpaceX, OpenAI or Anthropic.
SwellJoe 4 hours ago [-]
With the new Nasdaq 100 fast track rule, I'd certainly get out of any index that tracks it, or any funds that are invested in it. I don't know if any other indexes have had similar policy changes...but, if it works this time, and insiders are able to steal a few billion dollars from retirement funds without people even realizing it, I'm sure it'll become more commonplace until we have a functional government that regulates this kind of crime.

https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/what-the-nasdaqs-new-fas...

Hamuko 3 hours ago [-]
Apparently my US index fund is based on MSCI, which is even worse: eligible after 10 trading days. Although the float-adjusted market cap calculation should lessen the blow.
gigatexal 4 hours ago [-]
I’m going to be selling out of my Nasdaq ETF too. Such a shame.

Buuut if Anthropic does the same and lists on the Nasdaq then I might reconsider.

jurgenburgen 3 hours ago [-]
Just buy Anthropic directly, why dilute your money through an ETF?
andsoitis 4 hours ago [-]
> been thinking about pulling my money from all of the US funds that I currently have

What’s holding you back? And what alternative investments are you considering?

I recently did homework to decide whether to double down on VOO (S&P 500 index) or to diversify via VXUS (ex-US index), and concluded VOO is better for my risk-adjusted ROI outlook and time horizon.

gigatexal 4 hours ago [-]
Same. Though I’m 85%+ VOOG
Hamuko 4 hours ago [-]
Momentum, really. I usually just buy more of a given fund and don't really take any out. My small portfolio is split across different funds, so I'd probably just split around the money I'd withdraw from the US-based ones into the other ones.
jstummbillig 3 hours ago [-]
> I really don't want my investments to be in SpaceX, OpenAI or Anthropic.

This just being an incomplete list or is there another reason you name the last two but not Google?

nixon_why69 3 hours ago [-]
Google being one of the most profitable companies on the planet might contribute? OpenAI and Anthropic don't seem to be profitable while SpaceX is weighed down by heavy losses on grok.
spacebanana7 4 hours ago [-]
Why not Anthropic? They’re a very rare company capable of charging $200 per month per seat level fee across the corporate workforce.

Yes their compute costs are astronomical, but that can be managed down over time by more efficiency or mild enshittification that doesn’t create too much churn.

acdha 53 minutes ago [-]
> Why not Anthropic? They’re a very rare company capable of charging $200 per month per seat level fee across the corporate workforce.

Because no part of this statement is accurate. They’d like investors to believe it’s very rare but they have multiple strong competitors, most of whom have much better financials, and the entire sector is worried that the open models are going to effectively cap rates below what they need to pay off their massive investments. Lastly, they’re not universally must-have in software development which is one of the domains best suited for LLMs but most corporate work lacks similar correctness oracles and we’re already seeing major corporate customers reconsider the cost/benefit ratio.

None of that means they’re doomed but a lot of stars need to align for them to keep their valuation up. They don’t need to go out of business for investors to lose money buying in at the peak.

originalvichy 4 hours ago [-]
You would think you’re investing in a software technology company, but after reading a bit of news stories, you realize you’re quite literally funding war crimes. If I invested in an arms company, I’d have reasonable expectations about what I invest in. Investing in Anthropic at surface level looks like investing in software for hobbies and business.

It’s pretty depressing to be honest. I don’t know how I could work in any of these military industry companies.

mrweasel 3 hours ago [-]
Normally Danish pension companies and banks will refuse to invest your money in weapons manufactures (unless you have a lot of money, then they apparently don't care). But as long as your money is invested as a pool, they won't do weapons.

I think you're right that e.g. Anthropic wouldn't be on the block list, because: It's an IT company, and I suspect that even Palantir might make the cut. It is fairly annoying, because my pension fund won't invest in Rheinmetall, SAAB or Kongberg, which I think they should, but they will probably invest in Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX, which I don't really like.

originalvichy 3 hours ago [-]
It’s probably quite similar here in Finland. I’m interested to see what the current fund(s) contain.
cj 2 hours ago [-]
Replace "war crimes" with "hardware" and it's an equally good reason not to invest.

They're valued like software companies, but they have terrible margins compared to software. Investors haven't figured out how to value these companies.

andsoitis 4 hours ago [-]
All major indices have always included defense contractors.

Also, when you buy into an index fund, you are not funding the companies that the index tracks. That’s a misunderstanding of how the markets and index funds work.

0123456789ABCDE 3 hours ago [-]
you seem to be implying that, secondary markets have no effect on primary market prices, and i just want to make sure that's what you meant.
bauerd 3 hours ago [-]
>I don’t know how I could work in any of these military industry companies.

You'd sing a different song quite quickly once the threat stops being abstract as you don't get to free-ride on the security a defense industry provides.

RobotToaster 3 hours ago [-]
The defence industry that would be required to prevent an invasion of the US mainland is at least an order of magnitude smaller than what currently exists to sustain the US empire.
originalvichy 3 hours ago [-]
I wouldn’t, but thanks for the reply. I’ve gone through conscription and we are neighbours with Russia. I’ve not lived a day in my life without existential military threat.
bauerd 1 hours ago [-]
You don’t think there are causes worth fighting for? Or that deterrence is immoral? Help me understand.
ekianjo 4 hours ago [-]
> you’re quite literally funding war crimes

What difference with Microsoft, amazon and google? They all heavily support the military.

bestouff 4 hours ago [-]
(S)he said: "pulling my money from all of the US funds that I currently have".

Edit: OK, no the same person.

originalvichy 3 hours ago [-]
There is none. That’s why I wouldn’t invest in them either.
3683826312819 2 hours ago [-]
[dead]
100ms 4 hours ago [-]
Chinese hardware and energy headwinds aren't going to be great for Anthropic, apparently not even over a 1 year time horizon.
Hamuko 4 hours ago [-]
Because I don't really trust any of them, and I don't believe that the business is self-sustainable. At the moment we're in a phase where CTOs are able to withdraw money from the corporate bank accounts to be "on the cutting edge", but I don't think that's going to last. I'd rather have my money in something else.
andsoitis 4 hours ago [-]
Index funds adjust based on performance of the underlying stocks, so it doesn’t really matter if one of them does poorly. The index fund will adjust. When you buy an index fund like the S&P 500, you’re taking a position that the mega-caps it comprises as a whole will give you outsized returns over extended periods of time.
adammarples 3 hours ago [-]
And they "only" need about 100 million recurring subscribers at $200 per month to make the profits that will justify their nearly $1 trillion valuation with almost no room for growth whatsoever, so who wouldn't want a chunk of that pie. (numbers calculated on back of imaginary envelope)
seydor 4 hours ago [-]
I mean it isn't like it was automatically included.
jonasf1337 4 hours ago [-]
hope my Danish pension fund PFA doesn't do the same
hparadiz 3 hours ago [-]
Oh this duplicate post again. SpaceX stock may as well be bonds on space flight. I'd buy them at a loss.
Geezus_42 3 hours ago [-]
That sounds dumb.
lucketone 2 hours ago [-]
But it good illustration of why valuation is so high
Geezus_42 2 hours ago [-]
Because people make dumb choices? That I would agree.
lucketone 17 minutes ago [-]
I would refrain from calling it “dumb”. Just different. Maybe a bit of a hype thing.
throwfaraway135 4 hours ago [-]
The criticism seems politically motivated. Considering what happened to Blue Origin, SpaceX's success is commendable. Although I agree $1.8T seems crazy.
YawningAngel 3 hours ago [-]
I don't think it's politically motivated at all. My impression of this IPO is that it's designed to inflate SpaceX's perceived value by offering very limited float and aggressively seeking to capture passive money by bargaining for inclusion in indices it would not otherwise be eligible for. Speaking as a passive investor myself, I want my money nowhere near this company until it meets the old eligibility criteria.
whatevaa 3 hours ago [-]
Elon achived this valuation by merging xAI into SpaceX. The future of xAI is questionable, and without it SpaceX is very overvalued.
MrBuddyCasino 3 hours ago [-]
SpaceX has the potential to be the most valuable company ever if the space economy expands. Starlink will be a tiny puzzle piece by then.

How is this even debatable.

Geezus_42 2 hours ago [-]
Why do people believe SpaceX is trying to democratize space flight? Thats demonstrably false if you actually listen to the things Elon says. He wants to go to Mars so he can setup the equivalent of the racist gated community he grew up in. That way he and his rich friends can escape there once being on earth is no longer tenable.
jpkw 3 hours ago [-]
If the space economy expands + if spacex continue to hold market share + if it can do so while increasing profitably against increasing competition in the future. And considering the argument is for "the most valuable company", if spacex can do all of the above while other non-space related companies that are hugely profitable slow down their paces of innovation, spacex could be the most valuable company ever.
BLanen 2 hours ago [-]
The SpaceX S-1 contradicts your claim by including an optimistic "TAA" (total addressable market) figure for "the space industry". Which falls heavily short of your claim. While the SpaceX claimed total TTA is mostly (like 80%) AI-powered "enterprise applications" which don't exist and are not related to space data centers or whatever.

How is this even debatable.

expedition32 3 hours ago [-]
What space economy? Aside from satellites- which have been a known quantity for a long time- I'm not seeing it.
Geezus_42 2 hours ago [-]
Also, starlink is stupid as a long-term play. Do you really think tossing satellites up into to space and replacing them every few years is cheaper or more sustainable than just building out wired infrastructure on the ground that can be used for decades? Plus, the is a finite limit to how much they can scale based in physics.
jiggawatts 3 hours ago [-]
The "space economy" is not yet a certainty, other than in the mind of science fiction fans. (Unsurprisingly, hard to reach irradiated rocks of undifferentiated boring minerals in a cold vacuum are of negligible value to humans here on Earth.)

Even if the Star Trek utopian future materialises, it is very likely to be a long time from now.

1. SpaceX has competitors. Most are making reusable rockets.

2. SpaceX has no moat.

3. The concept of money itself might change dramatical by the time SpaceX becomes a multi-planetary mega corporation. Investing now may not return returns in any meaningful sense.

bluescrn 4 hours ago [-]
While the Starship project may be struggling, Falcon 9 is still a massive success, with a successful launch every couple of weeks, making up most of humanity's access to space/LEO right now.

And Starlink is a pretty big deal, particularly in a time of conflict where undersea cables are very vulnerable.

If Elon hadn't shifted so far to the right, these threads would be near-universally praising SpaceX despite Starship's struggles.

Zigurd 19 minutes ago [-]
Falcon 9 is a serendipitous technical success for a rocket that wasn't designed to land and be reused. It is an operational success. Whether that makes it a financial success is very questionable.

Starship is meant to answer all those questions about design intent and financial viability and then some. It could readily turn out to be an example of second system syndrome.

Forgeties79 3 hours ago [-]
> If Elon hadn't shifted so far to the right

A symptom of his fickle nature and erratic behavior, as well as general poor impulse control, all of which rightfully make people skittish with their money and question his judgment.

watwut 3 hours ago [-]
I dont think he was fickle with this one. He was remarkably consistent.

He had period where he though he can become hero for the democrats due to green cars. It did not worked, neither democrats nor left accepted him as unconditional hero.

The racism, the villingness to cause harm to get more power for himself were there whole time. He was far right the whole time, just became more extreme and open when it stopped being disadvantage.

techpression 4 hours ago [-]
But it’s at the whim of someone who I think nobody can describe as stable or trustworthy. Starlink the technology is great, Starlink the company has a massive weight attached to it.
pendenthistory 3 hours ago [-]
Interesting definition of "struggling", as in "managed to catch the largest booster rocket ever built with by snatching it mid air, and land the largest space ship in the ocean using a belly flop maneuver that everyone said was crazy and would never work".
bluescrn 2 hours ago [-]
The 'struggle' is that they seem to have regressed from that point, and that the scale of Starship is perhaps too big for a 'fail fast, iterate rapidly' approach.

Especially now that every failure results in a massive wave of negative publicity

cryo32 4 hours ago [-]
Not even remotely politically motivated.

It doesn't matter if it's successful or not. Their space business is worth virtually nothing on paper and the funding structures and profit/loss accounts are scary.

zamadatix 4 hours ago [-]
Most of the 1.8T hype is not at all related to the rocketry business. Well, I suppose if you buy the "AI DCs in space" pitch they could be somewhat related.
johneth 2 hours ago [-]
If you buy the "AI DCs in space" pitch, you deserve to be parted from your money.
SwellJoe 4 hours ago [-]
What's political is a policy change to "fast track" companies into the Nasdaq 100. Spacex is the first to benefit from this loophole that allows them to be added to indexes almost immediately after listing, which likely is a license to steal a bunch of regular folks retirement money. Elon Musk doesn't need more ways to steal people's money.

The unfortunate thing is, a lot of people have no idea this rule change has gone into effect, and that they're about to get fleeced by a bunch of professional investors.

https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/what-the-nasdaqs-new-fas...

It's legalized theft, and the victims are people least able to defend themselves from it. Most people have no idea what's in their retirement accounts, or track very closely what's being tracked by the index funds they've been told for decades was the safest way to invest in the stock market for non-pros.

gbil 4 hours ago [-]
>Akademikerpension also said the governance structure of SpaceX was "extremely deficient", adding that Elon Musk is expected to control more than 80% of the voting rights while simultaneously serving as chief executive officer, chief technology officer and chair of the board.

Their skepticism seems pretty valid to me

SwellJoe 4 hours ago [-]
The company is wildly overvalued. It'd be funny if Musk wasn't about to walk away with a bunch of money stolen from retirement accounts.
spwa4 3 hours ago [-]
I think you'll find the whole valuation of the S&P500 is built upon retirement accounts. Yours. Mine.

In other words, look one level deeper and you'll see it's not the S&P500 that's overvalued. It's you and me and 100 million other people desperately attempting to make sure young people pay for them for 20-30 years when they're old.

And then you calculate it out ... and see it's not happening. No matter what the number on the account says.

SwellJoe 3 hours ago [-]
There's the normal level of... optimism. And, then there's SpaceX, a scam on a scale the world has never seen.
adamiscool8 4 hours ago [-]
Zuck was in roughly the same position and they didn’t put out a statement skipping that IPO. The valuation criticism is more valid but this line belies political motivation.
gbil 4 hours ago [-]
More than 10times higher (possible valuation), 10+ years of Musk showing what kind of liability he is and at that time Zuck didn't have all the main CxO positions.

I don't think it is similar therefore.

spacebanana7 4 hours ago [-]
Google too, and this was in the long term best interests of shareholders.

Imagine in 2010 if investors had real transparency into how much money YouTube or Maps was losing, along with the governance structures to enforce their concerns.

close04 4 hours ago [-]
Musk appears far less predictibile, more volatile than Zuck. Musk also got directly involved in US politics aligned with of a man who singlehandedly butchered US relations with almost everyone in the world. A man who threatened Denmark with taking their territory by force.

You’re calling it “political motivation” as some sort of blind hate or vendetta out of principle, cutting off the nose to spite the face. But you can no longer separate Musk from politics and aggression towards Denmark.

The pension fund’s assessment looks entirely valid, objective and justifiable to me. But for anyone who personally favors Musk and his political views any dismissal will look politically motivated. It’s easy to cry foul. In this light your shallow dismissal might be just as politically motivated.

vrganj 4 hours ago [-]
The political motivation is on Musks part. There's no unpolitical view of a man who ransacked the US government and is propping up far-right movements all over Europe.
turzmo 3 hours ago [-]
Has anybody noticed a marked increase in simping here on HN?
Zigurd 15 minutes ago [-]
There's a lot of it. But I also see a lot more skepticism of Musk and the rest of the intellectual dork web. Flirting with fascism was edgy. Now it's just icky.
Geezus_42 2 hours ago [-]
They've been simmping for Musk for at least a decade. Doing it for AI is only few years old.
KingMob 2 hours ago [-]
Think so? I feel like HN has always had a high level of simping.
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